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Red60
1047210.4
643630.9
87803.6
Blue61
923331.8
88626.8
1014216.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62652040801001206061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
45Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points4
60Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.4
22.022.4
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End2.4
blue by 0.9
31.80.3
19.619.9
Auto4.3
Teleop26.9
End0.6
Second
10.47.8
10.418.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End1.1
blue by 6.0
16.41.7
16.418.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Third
8780
#34
3.60.4
16.917.2
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.0
End1.6
blue by 3.1
8862
#23
6.80.3
17.017.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed