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Red47
915914.0
698923.0
94674.3
Blue78
902432.3
804214.7
805420.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5051204060801004778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+33
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +30
6Coral scored#12
22Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
40Total teleop70
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
47Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.1
19.119.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
blue by 9.3
32.33.7
20.424.1
Auto4.6
Teleop25.5
End2.2
Second
9159
#15
14.00.1
13.713.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.7
blue by 6.3
20.23.0
6.29.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.9
End1.6
Third
9467
#20DQ
4.30.1
13.113.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.8
End1.4
blue by 10.4
8042
#12
14.73.7
17.721.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed