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Red14
1047812.1
Blue48
855726.0
87956.0
856115.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68572040801001201448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
4Total teleop5
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
2Foul points20
14Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.11.1
12.113.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.5
blue by 13.9
26.02.6
23.621.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End6.2
Second
10204
#35DQ
9.53.7
9.513.2
Auto1.8
Teleop6.2
End1.5
blue by 5.7
8561
#10
15.23.2
17.314.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Third
7.95.3
7.913.2
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.3
red by 1.9
8795
#29
6.03.2
15.912.7
Auto4.0
Teleop0.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned