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Red49
804214.7
902817.2
1014216.4
Blue42
1047812.1
944710.5
822015.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624702040801001204942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
8Coral scored#4
29Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
37Total teleop17
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points12
49Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9028
#30
17.20.6
15.014.3
Auto1.3
Teleop15.3
End0.6
red by 2.0
8220
#16
15.21.6
16.214.6
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Second
16.40.6
18.117.5
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End1.5
red by 4.3
12.11.6
11.810.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.5
Third
8042
#12
14.70.6
21.520.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End1.9
red by 4.2
9447
#32
10.51.6
16.314.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed