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Red86
902931.0
1047210.4
1021616.5
Blue33
1047017.7
817312.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5743020801001201408633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +16
6Coral scored#5
21Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
39Total teleop23
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
24Foul points0
86Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.3
17.118.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End1.7
red by 13.3
17.70.9
20.219.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Second
16.51.3
14.616.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End2.9
red by 4.0
8173
#27
12.40.8
7.66.8
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8
Third
10.41.3
18.219.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End1.1
red by 0.9
9.50.9
13.212.3
Auto1.8
Teleop6.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed