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Red22
856115.2
643011.5
Blue21
877716.2
74669.1
87803.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048304060702221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+11Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +5
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points2
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
7Total teleop2
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
22Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8561
#10
15.22.5
14.111.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
blue by 1.0
8777
#17
16.22.5
15.913.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Second
6430
#26
11.52.5
14.712.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.7
red by 2.4
7466
#25
9.12.5
10.17.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Third
9.92.5
16.113.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.7
red by 6.3
8780
#34
3.62.5
17.214.8
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned