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Red52
855726.0
882812.0
Blue87
923331.8
698923.0
958315.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5353204060801005287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+51
Endgame+37
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +47
5Coral scored#14
18Coral points49
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
22Total teleop69
Reef
1L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points0
52Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.1
21.021.1
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End6.2
blue by 5.8
31.83.9
19.923.8
Auto4.3
Teleop26.9
End0.6
Second
8828
#22
12.00.1
14.714.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End2.4
blue by 11.0
23.02.9
19.222.1
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Third
7.90.1
13.213.3
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.3
blue by 7.9
9583
#21
15.82.4
12.615.0
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed