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Red25
1047017.7
1047210.4
Blue81
87803.6
1014216.4
902931.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57543040506070802581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +14
3Coral scored#6
12Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
16Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#3
0L3#1
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points32
25Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.73.1
19.316.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
blue by 13.3
31.00.2
18.418.3
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End1.7
Second
10.43.1
19.516.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End1.1
blue by 6.0
16.40.2
17.517.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Third
8.33.1
13.710.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End1.7
red by 4.7
8780
#34
3.60.2
14.814.6
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed