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Red74
804214.7
923331.8
Blue67
856115.2
877716.2
902432.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645602040801001207467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
7Coral scored#3
24Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
38Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
20Foul points42
74Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.4
23.823.3
Auto4.3
Teleop26.9
End0.6
blue by 0.5
32.33.0
27.524.4
Auto4.6
Teleop25.5
End2.2
Second
8042
#12
14.70.4
20.820.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 1.5
8777
#17
16.23.0
13.410.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Third
7.90.4
13.312.9
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.3
blue by 7.3
8561
#10
15.23.0
11.58.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed