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Red54
1021616.5
94674.3
958315.8
Blue26
822015.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434430354045505426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
16Total teleop11
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
20Foul points0
54Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.7
16.015.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End2.9
red by 1.3
8220
#16
15.21.6
14.613.0
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Second
9583
#21
15.80.4
15.014.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
red by 5.8
9.91.6
13.511.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Third
9467
#20
4.30.7
9.89.0
Auto2.1
Teleop0.8
End1.4
blue by 5.2
9.51.6
12.310.7
Auto1.8
Teleop6.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed