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Red98
698923.0
817312.4
902432.3
Blue53
1047812.1
856115.2
1047017.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583402040801001209853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+35Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +32
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
67Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points6
98Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.34.4
24.428.8
Auto4.6
Teleop25.5
End2.2
red by 14.6
17.71.3
16.317.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Second
23.02.6
21.524.1
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
red by 7.8
8561
#10
15.21.3
8.59.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Third
8173
#27
12.43.5
6.810.3
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8
red by 0.3
12.11.3
10.211.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed