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Red37
902817.2
87803.6
Blue38
1014216.4
915914.0
805812.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454002060801001201401603738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +5
4Coral scored#4
13Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
17Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
12Foul points6
37Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9028
#30
17.22.5
14.311.9
Auto1.3
Teleop15.3
End0.6
red by 0.7
16.41.3
17.315.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Second
7.92.5
12.910.4
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.3
blue by 6.1
9159
#15
14.01.3
16.214.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.7
Third
8780
#34
3.62.5
14.612.1
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.0
End1.6
blue by 8.4
8058
#18
12.00.8
5.04.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed