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Red83
923331.8
1021616.5
855726.0
Blue46
944710.5
643011.5
947914.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions693602060801001208346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+27Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#4
48Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
60Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
83Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.82.6
23.325.9
Auto4.3
Teleop26.9
End0.6
red by 17.5
9479
#13
14.31.1
11.312.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End0.9
Second
26.01.7
21.122.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End6.2
red by 14.5
6430
#26
11.51.1
12.213.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Third
16.52.6
15.217.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End2.9
red by 6.0
9447
#32
10.51.1
13.114.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed