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Red77
1014216.4
643630.9
944710.5
Blue55
1021616.5
947914.3
698923.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595801002003004005006007007755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+16Teleop
+18Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points15
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +8
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
44Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points2
77Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.8
24.726.5
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End2.4
red by 7.8
23.00.1
24.124.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Second
16.41.8
15.917.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Level
16.50.1
17.817.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Third
9447
#32
10.51.8
14.115.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End1.7
blue by 3.8
9479
#13
14.30.1
12.312.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed