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Red107
902931.0
805420.2
877716.2
Blue81
902817.2
923331.8
1047017.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36630208010012010781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
81Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
6Foul points6
107Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.06.2
20.026.2
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End1.7
blue by 0.8
31.81.2
25.927.2
Auto4.3
Teleop26.9
End0.6
Second
20.23.7
8.512.3
Auto2.7
Teleop15.9
End1.6
red by 2.5
17.71.2
17.618.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Third
8777
#17
16.26.2
8.414.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6
blue by 1.0
9028
#30
17.21.2
11.913.1
Auto1.3
Teleop15.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed