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Red39
944710.5
902817.2
698923.0
Blue26
877716.2
1047210.4
958315.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5944020801001203926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +9
5Coral scored#3
17Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
25Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points0
39Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.1
24.023.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
red by 6.8
8777
#17
16.21.9
14.612.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Second
9028
#30
17.21.8
13.111.3
Auto1.3
Teleop15.3
End0.6
red by 1.4
9583
#21
15.81.1
14.513.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Third
9447
#32
10.51.8
15.914.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End1.7
red by 0.1
10.41.9
13.511.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed