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Red83
1047017.7
882812.0
643630.9
Blue43
94674.3
822015.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653202040801001208343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+38Teleop
+50Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points11
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
0Processor points6
12Net points0
12Algae points6
44Total teleop17
Reef
3L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points10
83Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.93.1
26.529.6
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End2.4
red by 15.6
8220
#16
15.20.0
15.315.3
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Second
17.73.1
18.821.9
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
red by 9.8
7.90.0
9.69.6
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.3
Third
8828
#22
12.03.1
10.013.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End2.4
red by 7.8
9467
#20
4.30.0
8.28.2
Auto2.1
Teleop0.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed