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Red44
947914.3
855726.0
Blue48
698923.0
877716.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524402060801001201404448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +12
2Coral scored#4
8Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
14Total teleop26
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
18Foul points6
44Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.01.6
23.021.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End6.2
red by 3.0
23.00.1
23.022.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Second
9479
#13
14.32.6
12.29.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End0.9
blue by 1.9
8777
#17
16.20.2
12.812.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Third
9.52.6
14.612.0
Auto1.8
Teleop6.2
End1.5
red by 1.1
8.30.2
7.97.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned