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Red65
902931.0
882812.0
817312.4
Blue54
643011.5
902432.3
915914.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526002040801001201406554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
6Coral scored#6
21Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
35Total teleop29
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
12Foul points12
65Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.4
26.226.7
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End1.7
blue by 1.3
32.31.4
31.530.1
Auto4.6
Teleop25.5
End2.2
Second
8173
#27
12.40.2
10.010.2
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8
blue by 1.5
9159
#15
14.01.4
12.411.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.7
Third
8828
#22
12.00.4
13.113.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End2.4
red by 0.5
6430
#26
11.51.4
10.39.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed