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Red59
643630.9
1047812.1
804214.7
Blue22
1014216.4
1004213.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions693902060801001201405922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
8Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
37Total teleop3
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points6
59Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.2
29.629.4
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End2.4
red by 14.4
16.42.6
19.316.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Second
8042
#12
14.70.2
21.521.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End1.9
red by 0.8
13.82.6
11.68.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Third
12.10.2
9.89.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.5
red by 2.2
9.92.6
8.86.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed