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Red25
805420.2
87803.6
944710.5
Blue35
1021616.5
74669.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47320204060801001202535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points15
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +1
3Coral scored#3
11Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
15Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
25Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.21.0
14.113.0
Auto2.7
Teleop15.9
End1.6
red by 3.8
16.50.5
16.216.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Second
9447
#32
10.51.7
14.112.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End1.7
red by 1.4
7466
#25
9.10.5
5.35.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Third
8780
#34
3.61.7
12.510.7
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.0
End1.6
blue by 4.3
7.90.5
9.19.6
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed