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Red64
87956.0
877716.2
817312.4
Blue64
855726.0
643630.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29660204060801001206464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
6Coral scored#7
21Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
31Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
18Foul points0
64Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8777
#17
16.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6
blue by 14.7
30.9
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End2.4
Second
8173
#27
12.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8
blue by 13.6
26.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End6.2
Third
8795
#29
6.0
Auto4.0
Teleop0.1
End1.9
blue by 4.0
9.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned