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Red54
698923.0
1047210.4
74669.1
Blue24
902817.2
94674.3
87956.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442502060801005424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+16Teleop
+22Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +9
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
27Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#5
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
8Foul points0
54Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.5
23.924.3
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
red by 5.8
9028
#30
17.20.1
13.513.3
Auto1.3
Teleop15.3
End0.6
Second
10.40.7
9.410.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End1.1
red by 4.4
8795
#29
6.00.1
8.98.8
Auto4.0
Teleop0.1
End1.9
Third
7466
#25
9.10.7
5.96.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.1
red by 4.8
9467
#20
4.30.1
3.02.9
Auto2.1
Teleop0.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed