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Red57
88626.8
1021616.5
817312.4
Blue57
856115.2
944710.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3831010205060705757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +7
8Coral scored#4
27Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
33Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points12
57Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End2.9
red by 1.3
8561
#10
15.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Second
8173
#27
12.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8
red by 1.9
9447
#32
10.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Third
8862
#23
6.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 1.6
8.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed