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Red34
805812.0
902931.0
Blue61
643630.9
902432.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3782020601001201401603461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+19
Endgame+23
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +5
4Coral scored#4
14Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
20Total teleop25
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points4
34Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.6
25.324.8
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End1.7
blue by 1.3
32.31.5
33.632.1
Auto4.6
Teleop25.5
End2.2
Second
8058
#18
12.00.4
8.68.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 18.9
30.91.7
29.427.6
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End2.4
Third
9.90.6
6.15.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.7
red by 2.0
7.91.5
9.68.1
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed