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Red56
1047210.4
822015.2
915914.0
Blue41
74669.1
1047017.7
947914.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344002060801005641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+9Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
6Coral scored#5
20Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
30Total teleop23
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
8Foul points2
56Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8220
#16
15.21.5
13.014.6
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End0.9
blue by 2.5
17.70.1
19.619.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Second
9159
#15
14.01.5
12.213.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.7
blue by 0.3
9479
#13
14.30.1
12.312.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End0.9
Third
10.41.5
7.89.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End1.1
red by 1.3
7466
#25
9.10.1
5.75.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed