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Red35
643011.5
882812.0
Blue116
698923.0
1014216.4
805420.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3358020408010012014035116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+41
Endgame+39
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +37
3Coral scored#10
10Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
14Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
6Foul points48
35Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8828
#22
12.00.6
13.512.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End2.4
blue by 11.0
23.01.0
22.923.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Second
6430
#26
11.50.6
9.08.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.7
blue by 8.7
20.21.0
13.014.0
Auto2.7
Teleop15.9
End1.6
Third
9.50.6
12.011.4
Auto1.8
Teleop6.2
End1.5
blue by 7.0
16.41.6
16.718.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned