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Red56
643011.5
Blue55
958315.8
1047812.1
902817.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2145060801001201405655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +31
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
10Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
30Foul points6
56Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6430
#26
11.50.3
8.48.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.7
blue by 5.7
9028
#30
17.20.8
13.314.2
Auto1.3
Teleop15.3
End0.6
Second
8.30.3
6.46.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 7.4
9583
#21
15.80.6
13.213.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Third
7.90.3
8.18.4
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.3
blue by 4.2
12.10.9
13.114.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed