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Red49
944710.5
877716.2
915914.0
Blue60
1047210.4
856115.2
805420.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384302060801001204960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
3Coral scored#7
10Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
16Total teleop38
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
49Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8777
#17
16.21.4
12.614.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6
blue by 4.0
20.21.0
14.015.0
Auto2.7
Teleop15.9
End1.6
Second
9159
#15
14.01.3
13.815.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.7
blue by 1.2
8561
#10
15.21.4
15.016.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Third
9447
#32
10.51.3
8.810.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End1.7
red by 0.1
10.41.3
10.011.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsEarned