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Red54
804214.7
698923.0
1047017.7
Blue42
643630.9
822015.2
1021616.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6363203040507080901005442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
35Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points6
54Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.8
24.323.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
blue by 7.8
30.92.6
27.625.0
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End2.4
Second
17.71.1
19.818.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
red by 1.2
16.52.4
17.915.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Third
8042
#12
14.71.0
15.514.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 0.6
8220
#16
15.22.2
15.613.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed