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Red74
902432.3
947914.3
958315.8
Blue15
882812.0
87803.6
1047812.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653302040801001201407415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+49Teleop
+47Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
9Coral scored#0
32Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
46Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#1
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
12Foul points0
74Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.3
32.132.4
Auto4.6
Teleop25.5
End2.2
red by 20.2
12.11.8
14.012.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.5
Second
9583
#21
15.80.2
13.814.0
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
red by 3.7
8828
#22
12.01.8
13.912.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Third
9479
#13
14.30.3
12.412.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End0.9
red by 10.7
8780
#34
3.61.8
7.45.6
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed