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Red35
698923.0
87956.0
1047812.1
Blue102
822015.2
74669.1
902931.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4746405060708010035102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+59
Endgame+47
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +52
2Coral scored#10
6Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
6Total teleop58
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
4Foul points24
35Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.2
23.622.4
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
blue by 8.0
31.02.5
25.928.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End1.7
Second
12.11.4
12.210.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.5
blue by 3.1
8220
#16
15.22.5
13.415.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Third
8795
#29
6.01.5
9.78.1
Auto4.0
Teleop0.1
End1.9
blue by 3.1
7466
#25
9.12.5
5.17.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed