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Red83
877716.2
805812.0
923331.8
Blue33
88626.8
958315.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603002040801001201408333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+50Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
46Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
24Foul points2
83Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.5
30.831.3
Auto4.3
Teleop26.9
End0.6
red by 16.0
9583
#21
15.80.1
14.013.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Second
8777
#17
16.20.6
14.014.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6
red by 6.7
9.50.2
9.99.7
Auto1.8
Teleop6.2
End1.5
Third
8058
#18
12.00.4
8.08.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.6
red by 5.2
8862
#23
6.80.2
8.88.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed