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Red53
94674.3
902432.3
1014216.4
Blue50
817312.4
944710.5
855726.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5743020801005350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
40Total teleop39
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
53Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.1
32.432.5
Auto4.6
Teleop25.5
End2.2
red by 6.3
26.00.5
20.821.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End6.2
Second
16.40.1
16.716.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End1.5
red by 4.0
8173
#27
12.40.5
12.212.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8
Third
9467
#20
4.30.1
2.82.9
Auto2.1
Teleop0.8
End1.4
blue by 6.2
9447
#32
10.50.6
10.110.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed