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Red33
87803.6
947914.3
Blue48
1004213.8
698923.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304302060801003348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
12Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points0
33Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9479
#13
14.30.2
14.213.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End0.9
blue by 8.7
23.00.6
22.423.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Second
9.90.2
10.29.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.7
blue by 3.9
13.80.7
9.310.0
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Third
8780
#34
3.60.2
5.65.4
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.0
End1.6
blue by 4.3
7.90.7
7.48.1
Auto5.2
Teleop1.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed