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Red34
822015.2
817312.4
Blue73
915914.0
923331.8
805420.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357102060801001201403473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+29
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points15
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +20
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points34
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
26Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
34Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8220
#16
15.20.2
15.915.7
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End0.9
blue by 16.6
31.80.4
31.331.7
Auto4.3
Teleop26.9
End0.6
Second
8173
#27
12.40.2
12.612.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8
blue by 7.8
20.20.3
16.416.8
Auto2.7
Teleop15.9
End1.6
Third
8.30.3
8.68.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 5.6
9159
#15
14.00.4
14.114.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed