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Red10
87803.6
1047017.7
88626.8
Blue75
74669.1
855726.0
94674.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3733102030405060701075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+31
Endgame+41
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +24
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
0Total teleop24
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points24
10Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.71.9
19.517.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.2
blue by 8.3
26.01.3
21.222.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End6.2
Second
8862
#23
6.81.9
8.76.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 2.3
7466
#25
9.11.4
7.69.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Third
8780
#34
3.61.7
5.43.6
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.0
End1.6
blue by 0.6
9467
#20
4.31.4
2.94.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned