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Red53
882812.0
958315.8
856115.2
Blue23
87956.0
1014216.4
1047210.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453902060805323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+34Endgame
+30Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
4Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
30Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#1
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
8Foul points12
53Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9583
#21
15.80.3
13.914.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
blue by 0.7
16.42.1
16.814.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Second
8561
#10
15.20.3
15.415.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
red by 4.8
10.41.9
12.310.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Third
8828
#22DQ
12.00.3
11.912.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End2.4
red by 6.1
8795
#29
6.02.1
8.16.0
Auto4.0
Teleop0.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed