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Red87
698923.0
817312.4
902432.3
Blue85
855726.0
805420.2
1004213.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745202040601001201408785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
54Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
87Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.4
32.432.8
Auto4.6
Teleop25.5
End2.2
red by 6.3
26.00.7
23.424.1
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End6.2
Second
23.00.4
23.123.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
red by 2.8
20.20.7
17.618.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.9
End1.6
Third
8173
#27
12.40.4
12.512.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8
blue by 1.4
13.80.8
10.911.8
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.3