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Red60
1014216.4
805812.0
958315.8
Blue35
822015.2
856115.2
915914.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464510203040506070806035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
7Coral scored#3
25Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
39Total teleop14
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points6
60Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.3
15.716.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End1.5
red by 1.2
8220
#16
15.20.4
15.615.2
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Second
9583
#21
15.80.3
15.115.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
red by 0.6
8561
#10
15.20.4
15.615.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Third
8058
#18
12.00.3
11.311.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 2.0
9159
#15
14.00.4
14.414.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.7