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Red125
952318.7
683839.4
744438.7
Blue137
753961.7
705015.2
1054143.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10014050150200125137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+18
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points14
30Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +9
13Coral scored#12
47Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
69Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +12
24Foul points18
125Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.1
39.539.6
Auto10.6
Teleop27.6
End1.3
blue by 22.3
61.70.0
61.761.6
Auto13.3
Teleop38.6
End9.9
Second
38.70.1
38.738.9
Auto9.9
Teleop26.6
End2.2
blue by 5.2
43.90.0
43.843.8
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End7.4
Third
9523
#25
18.70.1
18.818.9
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End0.4
red by 3.5
7050
#29
15.20.0
15.115.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4