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Red154
753961.7
705015.2
1054143.9
Blue102
815113.7
801128.0
923135.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1377350100150200154102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+48Teleop
+60Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
9Leave0
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
35Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
20Coral scored#11
71Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
93Total teleop64
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points8
154Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.8
60.961.7
Auto13.3
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 26.3
9231
#13
35.50.4
35.135.5
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
Second
43.90.8
43.043.8
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End7.4
red by 15.9
28.00.4
27.628.0
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End5.3
Third
7050
#29
15.21.1
14.115.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 1.5
8151
#31
13.70.4
13.313.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3