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Red104
815113.7
801128.0
923135.5
Blue85
805621.8
1023424.4
902512.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8357010015010485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points46
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
18Processor points18
12Net points8
30Algae points26
75Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points0
104Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9231
#13
35.50.5
34.635.1
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
red by 11.1
24.40.6
23.824.4
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
28.00.5
27.127.6
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End5.3
red by 6.2
8056
#43
21.80.8
21.021.8
Auto2.1
Teleop17.4
End2.2
Third
8151
#31
13.70.5
12.813.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3
red by 1.5
9025
#10
12.20.6
11.612.2
Auto2.7
Teleop9.1
End0.4