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Red101
643142.0
946817.7
641730.7
Blue30
805621.8
907711.9
96948.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions904802040608010012014016010130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+51Teleop
+61Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
65Total teleop20
Reef
5L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
10Foul points0
101Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.3
32.133.4
Auto6.6
Teleop35.1
End0.4
red by 20.3
8056
#43
21.81.9
16.814.9
Auto2.1
Teleop17.4
End2.2
Second
30.71.3
26.327.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End8.2
red by 18.8
9077
#41
11.91.9
18.416.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.7
End1.7
Third
9468
#23
17.71.7
17.619.3
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 9.6
9694
#37
8.11.5
12.010.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed