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Red61
949715.8
698812.2
92478.9
Blue60
923135.5
9043-1.3
969014.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365202060801006160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
4Coral scored#10
14Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
24Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
22Foul points0
61Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9497
#36
15.80.1
15.515.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 19.7
9231
#13
35.50.8
26.627.4
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
Second
6988
#34
12.20.1
14.114.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.6
blue by 2.4
9690
#32
14.60.9
15.116.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End2.3
Third
9247
#11
8.90.1
4.54.4
Auto1.2
Teleop6.5
End1.3
red by 10.2
9043
#45
-1.30.7
4.85.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop-2.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed