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Red47
419110.4
1032111.5
744438.7
Blue35
820917.0
290516.2
815113.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704202060801001204735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +3
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points13
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
24Total teleop27
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
47Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.71.5
29.828.4
Auto9.9
Teleop26.6
End2.2
red by 21.7
8209
#38
17.00.9
16.715.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Second
11.51.5
15.313.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.6
blue by 4.7
2905
#27
16.20.7
15.314.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Third
4191
#22
10.41.5
15.113.6
Auto0.9
Teleop6.1
End3.4
blue by 3.3
8151
#31
13.70.6
10.610.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed