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Red85
876017.0
1054143.9
902118.0
Blue79
923135.5
805621.8
698919.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626902040801001201401608579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
+16Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
53Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#16
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points10
85Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.92.0
32.934.9
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End7.4
red by 8.4
9231
#13
35.50.4
30.430.8
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
Second
18.02.8
14.617.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9
blue by 3.8
8056
#43
21.80.5
13.514.0
Auto2.1
Teleop17.4
End2.2
Third
8760
#20
17.02.8
12.715.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End1.7
blue by 2.1
6989
#18
19.10.5
20.320.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed