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Red77
801128.0
643142.0
Blue80
683839.4
969014.6
1039626.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62690501001502002507780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
65Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points0
77Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.2
36.137.3
Auto6.6
Teleop35.1
End0.4
red by 2.6
39.41.4
33.735.0
Auto10.6
Teleop27.6
End1.3
Second
28.01.2
21.522.6
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End5.3
red by 1.9
26.11.5
14.916.4
Auto5.1
Teleop20.0
End1.1
Third
8.51.2
1.42.6
Auto2.1
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 6.0
9690
#32
14.62.1
12.915.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed