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Red56
820917.0
1054912.5
1020515.7
Blue46
949715.8
1023424.4
96948.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48472030406070805646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+4
0Endgame0
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +2
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
32Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
12Foul points2
56Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8209
#38
17.00.1
15.916.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End1.9
blue by 7.4
24.40.1
20.020.2
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
15.70.1
14.714.8
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.4
blue by 0.1
9497
#36
15.80.2
14.114.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
12.50.1
12.612.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.6
End0.9
red by 4.4
9694
#37
8.10.1
8.28.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed