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Red41
815113.7
1018516.0
958313.6
Blue91
92478.9
9043-1.3
753961.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3578020601001204191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+32
Endgame+40
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +28
5Coral scored#10
18Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
26Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points10
41Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.00.1
15.815.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End1.4
blue by 45.7
61.70.9
58.859.7
Auto13.3
Teleop38.6
End9.9
Second
8151
#31
13.70.1
10.09.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3
red by 4.8
9247
#11
8.90.9
1.42.3
Auto1.2
Teleop6.5
End1.3
Third
9583
#33
13.60.1
11.111.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 15.0
9043
#45
-1.30.8
3.94.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop-2.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned